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Thesis defences

PhD Oral Exam - Liang Wang, Economics

Three Essays on Online Economic Experiments and Experimental Data Analysis

Date & time
Thursday, January 21, 2021 (all day)
Cost

This event is free

Organization

School of Graduate Studies

Contact

Daniela Ferrer

Where

Online

When studying for a doctoral degree (PhD), candidates submit a thesis that provides a critical review of the current state of knowledge of the thesis subject as well as the student’s own contributions to the subject. The distinguishing criterion of doctoral graduate research is a significant and original contribution to knowledge.

Once accepted, the candidate presents the thesis orally. This oral exam is open to the public.

Abstract

This dissertation consists of three chapters on economic experiments and experimental data analysis. The first two chapters are online experiments and surveys, which explore the two topics of the health state valuation and the voluntary provision of public goods, respectively. The third chapter is a strategy analysis of trust behavior.

In the first chapter, to explore how people value the state of health and what socio-economic factors they might consider, I conducted a survey experiment to elicit individuals’ decisions under hypothetical health states. The main task for the subjects was a valuation task (standard gamble) under given health states, in which the subjects were required to make decisions on whether to take a risky medical treatment when facing various success probabilities. After this procedure, the subjects filled a survey about what factors they might have considered when making the previous decisions. The subjects were from two separate online pools of the United States (Amazon MTurk) and Canada (AskingCanadians).

My results show that in those who choose the risky medical treatment under the same health states, the Canadian participants are willing to accept a lower success probability. Among the socio-economic factors that are significant to this health valuation, several factors are considered by both samples such as “employer-purchased insurance plans”, “personal financial situations”, and “waiting times for treatment”. Some factors are only significant in one country’s participants. For the American sample, it is “access to health insurance”, while for the Canadian sample, it is “disturbances in everyday family life”.

The second chapter is an online experiment of a public goods game, which has a particular feature of polarized preference. From the 2020 U.S. election to the oil pipeline development in Canada, these types of situations may be modeled by a public goods game in which two groups of individuals have polarized preferences. The outcome of the election or debate will affect the utility of individuals in both groups but in an opposite direction. Meanwhile, individuals from each group can make costly efforts (in their favor) trying to affect the outcome.

We study a public goods game with polarized preferences by using a generalized voluntary contribution mechanism (GVCM). The strategy method was applied to the design of an online experiment. There are two groups of players, a majority group and a minority group, who have polarized preferences for a public good. Each player decides whether to contribute to their group's public account or keep the token in their private account. The experiment consists of a 2×2 design, which allows us to examine the effect of different MPCRs and frameworks in the conditional contribution. The subjects were recruited from Amazon MTurk and the experiment was implemented using o-Tree.

The main results that we found are that the MPCR effect and framework effect are mixed and only significant in some treatments. The results vary depending on the role of the participants (the majority and the minority). Overall, the individual contribution frequency in the majority group is significantly larger than in the minority group. Furthermore, players' contribution significantly increases with the contribution of others in their own group but is not dependent on the contribution from the other group.

The third chapter is an experimental data analysis, which seeks to reveal the strategy behind trust behavior among the encountering of strangers. The data set is from a trust game experiment reported by Duffy, Xie, and Lee (2013). If people never met again and people would not be punished for dishonesty (at least not directly from the person they cheated), the actions would be different. This scenario could be simulated in a trust game where there are two roles (Investor and Trustee) and the subjects are randomly and anonymously matched.

The method of finite automata is applied to infer the strategies subjects used in the experiment. In the strategy fitting procedure, I define for Investor 16 strategies and 6 strategy sets, and for the second player (Player B: Trustee) 24 strategies and 11 strategy sets. Then I match the data through a fitting procedure with these defined strategies. I report that the top three strategies in order are “grim trigger”, “systematically Send”, and “forgiving”; for Trustee, the most used strategies are “systematically Return”, “grim trigger”, and “tit-for-tat”. By taking the probability of the participant’s error into account, more observations are classified into the strategy, and the strategy pattern and proportions are still maintained.

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